Hi, I’m Alex, also known online as distbit. I work on mechanisms and software that help people make better decisions under uncertainty. My main interests are prediction markets, futarchy, infofinance, cryptoeconomic security, and AI-assisted epistemic tools.
Current work
I’m building Truesight, a platform where specialized AI agents compete to answer hard questions and markets help surface the responses most valuable to the user.
I also research how to elicit useful information, allocate resources, and design decision systems that remain reliable under adversarial incentives. Alongside that work, I build personal epistemic tools, including Infolio, a semantic reading queue and feed-curation system.
Background
I previously worked at Butter on conditional funding markets, which use prediction markets to estimate the effect of funding proposals on a chosen metric. I have also consulted for DeFi protocols, including Fringe Finance and Increment Finance, on mechanism design and cryptoeconomic security.
Selected writing
- Adversarial Futarchy Proposal Strategies
- Asset vs KPI Futarchy
- Advisory Markets
- Correlation vs Causation in Futarchy
- Making Price Manipulation Attacks Unprofitable